Nigerians are caught in a perplexing cash crunch, where official data sings a discordant tune with their lived experience. Despite widespread reports of empty ATMs and withdrawal limits, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) reveals a shocking 21.37% increase in currency in circulation over just three months, reaching N3.35 trillion by November 2023.
This data discrepancy leaves Nigerians scratching their heads. On the one hand, they struggle to withdraw even basic amounts from banks, resorting to pricey PoS operators to meet their cash needs. On the other hand, the CBN paints a picture of overflowing coffers, with more naira seemingly out there than ever before.
Several explanations swirl around this contradictory reality. The CBN points to potential cash hoarding, fueled by anxieties surrounding the recent naira redesign. It’s possible individuals are stashing away bills, creating a disconnect between official figures and actual accessibility.
Distribution issues could also be at play. The increased currency volume might not be evenly distributed across the banking system, leading to pockets of scarcity despite the overall rise. Additionally, reliance on the informal economy, which operates largely in cash, could contribute to the circulation increase without impacting formal bank transactions.
To navigate this cash conundrum, the CBN needs immediate action. Enhanced transparency regarding currency distribution is crucial to address public skepticism and build trust. Streamlining cash flow through banks and ATMs is essential to ease reliance on expensive alternatives and normalize transactions. Finally, tackling the root causes of hoarding, whether anxieties about the new naira or lack of trust in formal banking, is vital to reintroduce hoarded cash into the system.